Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
37'
37'
80'
80'
AI Match Summary
Chilpancingo in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chilpancingo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chilpancingo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chilpancingo lately — more wins on the board than Ciervos.
- Win probability leans Chilpancingo's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Chilpancingo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 19%
Chilpancingo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciervos | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Chilpancingo
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chilpancingo vs Ciervos
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilpancingo vs Ciervos
3:0
Nov 11, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Chilpancingo
0:3
Feb 4, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilpancingo vs Ciervos
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciervos 16 / 100
Chilpancingo 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciervos Chilpancingo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chilpancingo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chilpancingo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Ciervos found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Ciervos has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ciervos VS Chilpancingo
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciervos
(Home) 11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
31 Mar
FC Santiago
5 : 0 Ciervos
21 Mar
Ciervos
2 : 3 Zacatepec
14 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 1 Ciervos
07 Mar
Ciervos
0 : 2 Gavilanes de Matamoros
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
21 Mar
Ciervos
2 : 3 Zacatepec
07 Mar
Ciervos
0 : 2 Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Feb
Ciervos
2 : 1 Correcaminos 2
14 Feb
Ciervos
1 : 1 Zitacuaro
Page 1 of 4
Chilpancingo
(Away) 11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1 Correcaminos 2
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0 Chilpancingo
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1 Zitacuaro
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1 Chilpancingo
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0 Chilpancingo
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1 Chilpancingo
21 Feb
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0 Chilpancingo
08 Feb
Apodaca
4 : 2 Chilpancingo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
