Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciervos vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul Hidalgo in this Liga Premier Serie A 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruz Azul Hidalgo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ciervos
15%
Draws
49%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo have won more games recently than Ciervos.
  • Model gives Cruz Azul Hidalgo a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciervos Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1:4
Sep 27, 2020 Liga Premier Serie A
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Ciervos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciervos 18 / 100
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciervos Cruz Azul Hidalgo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul Hidalgo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ciervos scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciervos VS Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciervos

(Home)
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
29 Aug
Ciervos
0 : 2
Dragones de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

(Away)
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2
Leones Negros
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1
Piratas
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0
Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 22 15 4 3 44:15 52
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 22 14 3 5 44:25 47
3 Colima FC 22 13 3 6 36:19 46
4 Gavilanes de Matamoros 22 14 4 4 22:14 46
5 Mineros de Fresnillo 22 11 2 9 35:29 35
6 Atletico San Luis 2 22 9 3 10 22:24 32
7 UA Zacatecas 22 9 5 8 25:28 32
8 Tecos 22 7 5 10 23:29 25
9 Mazorqueros 22 7 3 12 23:36 24
10 Saltillo 22 5 4 13 23:40 22
11 Leones Negros 2 22 5 1 16 25:42 19
12 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 22 2 5 15 13:34 11
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 24 16 3 5 52:18 59
2 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 16 3 5 55:17 57
3 Irapuato 24 16 4 4 58:21 57
4 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 24 16 5 3 63:24 50
5 Cafessa Jalisco 24 14 4 6 40:22 50
6 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 24 12 2 10 43:38 44
7 Pioneros 24 13 3 8 37:33 42
8 Deportivo Dongu 24 9 4 11 29:48 32
9 Zitacuaro 24 9 3 12 26:37 31
10 Cuautla 24 5 2 17 23:44 19
11 Azores de Hidalgo 24 4 3 17 27:61 17
12 Ciervos 24 3 3 18 12:63 11
13 Canoneros FC 24 2 3 19 17:56 10
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)