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Ciervos vs Pachuca 2

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gonzalez J.
8' Event
Luna D.
18' Event
Sanchez M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2024/2025 game between Ciervos and Pachuca 2 finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ciervos
35%
Draws
56%
Pachuca 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pachuca 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pachuca 2 come out ahead of Ciervos on wins alone.
  • Pachuca 2 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Pachuca 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 15%
Pachuca 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciervos Pachuca 2
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.74 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Pachuca 2
1:7
Nov 29, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Pachuca 2 vs Ciervos
4:0
Apr 20, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Pachuca 2
0:3
Nov 18, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Pachuca 2 vs Ciervos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciervos Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Pachuca 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Luna D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciervos 19 / 100
Pachuca 2 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciervos Pachuca 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Pachuca 2 let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Ciervos found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Ciervos stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciervos VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciervos

(Home)
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2
Chilpancingo
31 Mar
FC Santiago
5 : 0
Ciervos
21 Mar
Ciervos
2 : 3
Zacatepec
14 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 1
Ciervos
07 Mar
Ciervos
0 : 2
Gavilanes de Matamoros
Page 1 of 7

Pachuca 2

(Away)
04 May
FC Santiago
2 : 1
Pachuca 2
30 Apr
Pachuca 2
1 : 1
FC Santiago
27 Apr
Pachuca 2
1 : 1
Artesanos Metepec
24 Apr
Artesanos Metepec
1 : 1
Pachuca 2
19 Apr
Pachuca 2
1 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santiago 12 8 2 2 22:10 27
2 Pachuca 2 12 6 4 2 28:14 24
3 Artesanos Metepec 12 7 1 4 17:9 24
4 CD Ayense 12 6 2 4 26:18 23
5 Cordobes FC 12 6 3 3 17:13 23
6 Canoneros FC 12 5 3 4 20:17 19
7 Calor De San Pedro 12 5 3 4 19:16 19
8 Club CDM 12 5 3 4 15:12 18
9 Poza Rica 12 4 3 5 18:22 17
10 Real Zamora 12 4 2 6 15:21 12
11 Caja Oblatos 12 3 1 8 20:38 11
12 Ciervos 12 2 2 8 8:27 8
13 Huracanes Izcalli 12 2 1 9 16:24 7
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)