Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025

Ciliverghe Mazzano

2 - 1

Castellanzese

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Embalo C.

29'

Colombo R.

47'

Rusconi R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ciliverghe Mazzano in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciliverghe Mazzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Ciliverghe Mazzano

22%

Draws

60%

Castellanzese

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Castellanzese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Castellanzese have won more games recently than Ciliverghe Mazzano.
Castellanzese are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 22%

Castellanzese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ciliverghe Mazzano	Castellanzese
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	5	9
Draws	6	9
Losses	19	16
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group B

Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Castellanzese

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group B

Castellanzese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciliverghe Mazzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Embalo C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rusconi R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Castellanzese Compare

Top Goalscorer Colombo R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciliverghe Mazzano 21 / 100

Castellanzese 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ciliverghe Mazzano Castellanzese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Ciliverghe Mazzano's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Castellanzese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Ciliverghe Mazzano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castellanzese

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ospitaletto	38	21	12	5	66:34	75
2	Pro Palazzolo	38	20	10	8	69:36	70
3	Desenzano Calvina	38	19	12	7	51:29	69
4	USD Casatese	38	19	11	8	58:34	68
5	Folgore Caratese	38	20	8	10	66:42	68
6	Varesina	38	17	13	8	61:44	64
7	Chievo	38	16	9	13	49:37	57
8	Pro Sesto	38	13	13	12	45:43	52
9	Club Milano	38	14	7	17	44:50	49
10	Sant'Angelo	38	11	15	12	41:41	48
11	Sondrio	38	12	11	15	39:51	47
12	Breno	38	11	14	13	42:53	47
13	Castellanzese	38	10	16	12	43:53	46
14	Vigasio	38	11	12	15	39:41	45
15	Sangiuliano City	38	11	12	15	39:46	45
16	Crema	38	11	11	16	48:57	44
17	Magenta	38	8	12	18	33:53	36
18	Fanfulla	38	6	14	18	28:57	32
19	Ciliverghe Mazzano	38	7	10	21	41:70	31
20	Arconatese	38	7	10	21	33:64	31