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Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Pro Sesto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciliverghe Mazzano play Pro Sesto in the Serie D - Group B 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ciliverghe Mazzano averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Pro Sesto averaged 1.28 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Ciliverghe Mazzano won 0, Pro Sesto won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 4, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Ciliverghe Mazzano and 1.36 for Pro Sesto. This points to a Pro Sesto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
26%
Draws
54%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ciliverghe Mazzano picked up more points recently compared to Pro Sesto.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 18%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciliverghe Mazzano Pro Sesto
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 14
Draws 6 13
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Pro Sesto
1:2
Apr 17, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Pro Sesto
0:0
Nov 29, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
3:0
Jan 21, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Pro Sesto
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciliverghe Mazzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Avitabile T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Busatto T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zanchetta F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciliverghe Mazzano 22 / 100
Pro Sesto 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciliverghe Mazzano Pro Sesto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Pro Sesto & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ciliverghe Mazzano attacking → ← attacking Pro Sesto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciliverghe Mazzano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Pro Sesto let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ciliverghe Mazzano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pro Sesto lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 55
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ospitaletto382112566:3475
2Pro Palazzolo382010869:3670
3Desenzano Calvina381912751:2969
4USD Casatese381911858:3468
5Folgore Caratese382081066:4268
6Varesina381713861:4464
7Chievo381691349:3757
8Pro Sesto3813131245:4352
9Club Milano381471744:5049
10Sant'Angelo3811151241:4148
11Sondrio3812111539:5147
12Breno3811141342:5347
13Castellanzese3810161243:5346
14Vigasio3811121539:4145
15Sangiuliano City3811121539:4645
16Crema3811111648:5744
17Magenta388121833:5336
18Fanfulla386141828:5732
19Ciliverghe Mazzano387102141:7031
20Arconatese387102133:6431