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Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Leones Negros 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Logo

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

3 - 0
FT
Leones Negros 2 Logo

Leones Negros 2

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Gutierrez J.
60' Event
Fernandez C.
73' Event
Coronado A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 game between Cimarrones de Sonora 2 and Leones Negros 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cimarrones de Sonora 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
15%
Draws
36%
Leones Negros 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Leones Negros 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Cimarrones de Sonora 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cimarrones de Sonora 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Leones Negros 2
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 12 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0:1
May 2, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Leones Negros 2
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Leones Negros 2
3:0
Nov 18, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0:0
Jan 21, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Leones Negros 2
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Leones Negros 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 95 / 100
Leones Negros 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Leones Negros 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Leones Negros 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cimarrones de Sonora 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leones Negros 2
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

(Home)
13 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
3 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
10 May
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
04 May
Leones Negros 2
0 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
02 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1 : 0
Leones Negros 2
27 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

Leones Negros 2

(Away)
18 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 2
Celaya
16 Apr
Celaya
5 : 0
Leones Negros 2
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
21 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1
Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)