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Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Mineros de Fresnillo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Navarro B.
61' Event
Solorzano E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 game between Cimarrones de Sonora 2 and Mineros de Fresnillo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cimarrones de Sonora 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
15%
Draws
39%
Mineros de Fresnillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 haven't matched Mineros de Fresnillo's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Cimarrones de Sonora 2 taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Mineros de Fresnillo
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Mineros de Fresnillo
3:0
May 10, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Mineros de Fresnillo
2:0
Nov 21, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solorzano E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Mineros de Fresnillo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 50 / 100
Mineros de Fresnillo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Mineros de Fresnillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cimarrones de Sonora 2's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mineros de Fresnillo let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mineros de Fresnillo
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

(Home)
13 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
3 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
10 May
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
04 May
Leones Negros 2
0 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
02 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1 : 0
Leones Negros 2
27 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

Mineros de Fresnillo

(Away)
03 Oct
Mineros de Fresnillo
3 : 0
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
27 Sept
Vaqueros
2 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
19 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
11 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
FC Santiago
05 Sept
Correcaminos 2
0 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)