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Cimarrones de Sonora vs Los Cabos United

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Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Cimarrones de Sonora Logo

Cimarrones de Sonora

2 - 0
FT
Los Cabos United Logo

Los Cabos United

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Perez E.
64' Event
Serna A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Cimarrones de Sonora and Los Cabos United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cimarrones de Sonora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cimarrones de Sonora
30%
Draws
42%
Los Cabos United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Los Cabos United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Cimarrones de Sonora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Cimarrones de Sonora taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cimarrones de Sonora Clean Sheet 20%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cimarrones de Sonora Los Cabos United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 10 3
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Los Cabos United
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Cimarrones de Sonora
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Los Cabos United
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Cimarrones de Sonora
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cimarrones de Sonora Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serna A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Los Cabos United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cimarrones de Sonora 40 / 100
Los Cabos United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cimarrones de Sonora Los Cabos United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cimarrones de Sonora scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Los Cabos United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Cimarrones de Sonora has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cimarrones de Sonora VS Los Cabos United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cimarrones de Sonora

(Home)
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2
Celaya
23 Apr
Celaya
2 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
15 Apr
Mineros de Fresnillo
1 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
11 Apr
Zapotlanejo
0 : 4
Cimarrones de Sonora
Page 1 of 6

Los Cabos United

(Away)
27 Sept
Purepechas
0 : 1
Los Cabos United
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
30 Aug
Irapuato
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)