Sport Picks

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Cincinnati Dutch Lions vs Derby City Rovers

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby City Rovers in this USL Premier Development League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby City Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
20%
Draws
0%
Derby City Rovers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cincinnati Dutch Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cincinnati Dutch Lions lately — more wins on the board than Derby City Rovers.
  • Cincinnati Dutch Lions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cincinnati Dutch Lions have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cincinnati Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Derby City Rovers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cincinnati Dutch Lions Derby City Rovers
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 1.87 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.39 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2018 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs Cincinnati Dutch Lions
2:5
Jun 10, 2018 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs Cincinnati Dutch Lions
0:6
Jun 1, 2018 USL League Two
Cincinnati Dutch Lions vs Derby City Rovers
0:0
Jun 30, 2017 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs Cincinnati Dutch Lions
0:3
Jun 17, 2017 USL League Two
Cincinnati Dutch Lions vs Derby City Rovers
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cincinnati Dutch Lions 85 / 100
Derby City Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cincinnati Dutch Lions Derby City Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cincinnati Dutch Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby City Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Derby City Rovers registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Cincinnati Dutch Lions scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

Cincinnati Dutch Lions VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cincinnati Dutch Lions

(Home)
13 Jul
West Virginia
2 : 2
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
06 Jul
Chicago United
1 : 1
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
30 Jun
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
3 : 1
Flint City
28 Jun
Dayton
2 : 0
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
26 Jun
Chicago United
1 : 2
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
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Derby City Rovers

(Away)
13 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 6
Lansing United
10 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 14
Flint City
07 Jul
Lansing United
3 : 0
Derby City Rovers
01 Jul
Derby City Rovers
2 : 5
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Derby City Rovers
0 : 6
Dayton
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