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Cinfaes vs Grijo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 game between Cinfaes and Grijo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cinfaes
20%
Draws
30%
Grijo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Cinfaes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cinfaes a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 20%
Grijo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cinfaes Grijo
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 13 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs Cinfaes
1:2
Feb 23, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Cinfaes vs Grijo
1:2
Jan 26, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Cinfaes vs Grijo
1:1
Nov 17, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs Cinfaes
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cinfaes 40 / 100
Grijo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cinfaes Grijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cinfaes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grijo let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Cinfaes's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cinfaes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cinfaes VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cinfaes

(Home)
27 Sept
Estrela Calheta
2 : 2
Cinfaes
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4
Leixoes
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 7

Grijo

(Away)
21 Aug
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Grijo
24 May
SC Lusitania
2 : 1
Grijo
11 May
Grijo
1 : 2
Lusitano FCV
04 May
Bustelo
0 : 2
Grijo
27 Apr
Grijo
0 : 1
Estarreja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Joao de Ver 18 9 5 4 33:28 32
2 FC Cesarense 18 8 6 4 26:18 30
3 Bustelo 18 6 8 4 23:17 26
4 Anadia 18 6 7 5 31:30 25
5 Lusitania FC 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
6 Cinfaes 18 5 8 5 18:18 23
7 Grijo 18 4 9 5 29:30 21
8 Lusitano FCV 18 5 5 8 22:34 20
9 SC Espinho 18 4 6 8 17:20 18
10 Estarreja 18 3 7 8 20:26 16
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 (Relegation Group)