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Cinfaes vs Sousense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Dias Silva Tomaz T. P.
60' Event
Leite F.

AI Match Summary

Cinfaes in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cinfaes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cinfaes
30%
Draws
12%
Sousense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cinfaes lately — more wins on the board than Sousense.
  • Cinfaes are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 68%
Sousense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cinfaes Sousense
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.35 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Sousense
2:0
Feb 25, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sousense vs Cinfaes
1:0
Oct 22, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Sousense
2:0
Apr 9, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sousense vs Cinfaes
1:1
Feb 19, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cinfaes vs Sousense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cinfaes Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias Silva Tomaz T. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leite F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Sousense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cinfaes 50 / 100
Sousense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cinfaes Sousense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cinfaes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousense has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Cinfaes found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Cinfaes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cinfaes VS Sousense
2 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Cinfaes

(Home)
27 Sept
Estrela Calheta
2 : 2
Cinfaes
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4
Leixoes
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 7

Sousense

(Away)
13 Sept
Sousense
3 : 3
Uniao Lamas
06 Sept
UD Ovarense
2 : 0
Sousense
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Castro Daire 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
6 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Cinfaes 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
8 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
9 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Estrela Calheta 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
13 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)