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Cinfaes vs Sousense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cinfaes host Sousense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Cinfaes at 1.21 goals for, 0.79 against; Sousense at 0.66 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor Cinfaes slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2018, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.94) point toward Cinfaes. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Cinfaes
20%
Draws
28%
Sousense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cinfaes lately — more wins on the board than Sousense.
  • Cinfaes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 20%
Sousense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cinfaes Sousense
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 12 3
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.21 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.79 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sousense vs Cinfaes
1:0
Oct 22, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Sousense
2:0
Apr 9, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sousense vs Cinfaes
1:1
Feb 19, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cinfaes vs Sousense
2:0
Jan 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sousense vs Cinfaes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cinfaes 85 / 100
Sousense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cinfaes Sousense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousense has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Cinfaes remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Cinfaes's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cinfaes VS Sousense
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cinfaes

(Home)
01 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Salgueiros
22 Mar
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Cinfaes
Page 1 of 7

Sousense

(Away)
25 Jul
Sousense
2 : 1
Uniao Lamas
22 Apr
Sousense
2 : 1
Gondomar
15 Apr
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
08 Apr
Sousense
0 : 2
Amarante FC
31 Mar
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
Sousense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beira Mar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Camacha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Machico 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Cinfaes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sanjoanense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Estrela Calheta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Alpendorada 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 SC Salgueiros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 UD Ovarense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Uniao Lamas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Sousense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Castro Daire 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Florgrade 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Guarda FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)