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Cirbonero vs Burlades

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Marcos I.
83' Event
Cacho A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Cirbonero and Burlades finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cirbonero
30%
Draws
31%
Burlades
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cirbonero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cirbonero come out ahead of Burlades on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Cirbonero taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 20%
Burlades Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cirbonero Burlades
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Cirbonero
3:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Burlades
1:1
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Burlades
0:1
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Cirbonero
1:4
Mar 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Cirbonero
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cirbonero Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Burlades Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cirbonero 49 / 100
Burlades 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cirbonero Burlades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cirbonero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Burlades conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Cirbonero's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Cirbonero has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cirbonero VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cirbonero

(Home)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 7

Burlades

(Away)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)