Sport Picks
Cirbonero vs CD Cantolagua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 
Match Events
26'
26'
Chamorro I.
64'
64'
Valero M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Cirbonero and CD Cantolagua finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Cantolagua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Cantolagua haven't matched Cirbonero's recent run of results.
- 32% — that's where the model lands on Cirbonero taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 20%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cirbonero | CD Cantolagua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs CD Cantolagua
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Cirbonero
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Cirbonero
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs CD Cantolagua
2:1
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Cirbonero
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cirbonero Compare
Top Goalscorer Chamorro I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
CD Cantolagua Compare
Top Goalscorer Valero M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cirbonero 40 / 100
CD Cantolagua 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cirbonero CD Cantolagua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cirbonero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Cantolagua let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Cirbonero found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: CD Cantolagua registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cirbonero VS CD Cantolagua
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Cirbonero
(Home) 04 Oct
Cirbonero
0 : 4 Mutilvera
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0 Cirbonero
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0 CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1 Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4 Izarra
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Cirbonero
0 : 4 Mutilvera
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0 CD Beti Onak
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4 Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0 Valle Egues
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2 Cortes
Page 1 of 4
CD Cantolagua
(Away) 03 Oct
Ezcabarte
4 : 1 CD Cantolagua
27 Sept
CD Cantolagua
0 : 3 Valle Egues
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0 CD Cantolagua
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1 Huarte
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0 CD Cantolagua
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ezcabarte
4 : 1 CD Cantolagua
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0 CD Cantolagua
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0 CD Cantolagua
01 May
Cirbonero
1 : 1 CD Cantolagua
16 Apr
Valle Egues
0 : 0 CD Cantolagua
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mutilvera | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 61:22 | 76 |
| 2 | Valle Egues | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 63:21 | 75 |
| 3 | AD San Juan | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 56:26 | 64 |
| 4 | Cortes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 48:28 | 62 |
| 5 | Pena | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 55:28 | 58 |
| 6 | Txantrea | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:49 | 57 |
| 7 | Huarte | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54:39 | 57 |
| 8 | CD Ardoi | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 41:30 | 55 |
| 9 | Pamplona | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:43 | 50 |
| 10 | Cirbonero | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 46:39 | 45 |
| 11 | Bidezarra | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 39:41 | 44 |
| 12 | Beti Kozkor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:48 | 37 |
| 13 | CA Artajones | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 36:57 | 33 |
| 14 | CD Beti Onak | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 32:50 | 33 |
| 15 | Burlades | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 47:73 | 26 |
| 16 | Rotxapea | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 39:83 | 23 |
| 17 | CD Gares | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25:63 | 22 |
| 18 | CD Cantolagua | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 32:75 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
