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Cirbonero vs Murchante

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 game between Cirbonero and Murchante finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Cirbonero
30%
Draws
51%
Murchante
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Murchante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Murchante haven't matched Cirbonero's recent run of results.
  • Murchante are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 22%
Murchante Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cirbonero Murchante
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 14 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.05 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Murchante
1:1
Sep 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Cirbonero
0:1
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Cirbonero
2:1
Nov 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Murchante
0:1
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Cirbonero
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cirbonero 13 / 100
Murchante 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cirbonero Murchante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murchante Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murchante has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Cirbonero found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (39 games).

Recent resilience: Cirbonero stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cirbonero VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cirbonero

(Home)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 8

Murchante

(Away)
30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0
CD Gares
24 Apr
Pamplona
0 : 0
Murchante
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Apr
CD Beti Onak
0 : 1
Murchante
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)