Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Circulo Deportivo vs Costa Brava

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Guillermo Trama, Comandante Nicanor Otamendi
Our Tip

Match Events

68'
Sub
Alles A. In: Ortiz M.
Out: Alles A.
68'
Sub
Parra J. In: Garro T.
Out: Parra J.
68'
Sub
Lentini R. In: Pipistrelli I.
Out: Lentini R.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Circulo Deportivo and Costa Brava finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Costa Brava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Circulo Deportivo
15%
Draws
53%
Costa Brava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Circulo Deportivo haven't matched Costa Brava's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Costa Brava's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Circulo Deportivo Clean Sheet 26%
Costa Brava Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Circulo Deportivo Costa Brava
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 13
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.69 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Costa Brava
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Circulo Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Costa Brava Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Circulo Deportivo 30 / 100
Costa Brava 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Circulo Deportivo Costa Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Brava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Costa Brava conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Circulo Deportivo scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Circulo Deportivo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Circulo Deportivo VS Costa Brava
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Circulo Deportivo

(Home)
20 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 0
Germinal
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0
Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1
Costa Brava
Page 1 of 6

Costa Brava

(Away)
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0
Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3
Costa Brava
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 2
Juventud U.U.
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1
Costa Brava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Unidos 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
2 Gimnasia E.R. 8 4 2 2 9:2 14
3 El Linqueno 8 3 4 1 8:4 13
4 Sportivo Las Parejas 8 3 3 2 8:3 12
5 Defensores de Vilelas 8 3 3 2 14:11 12
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 8 3 3 2 8:5 12
7 Atletico Escobar 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
8 Sarmiento Resistencia 8 2 0 6 5:16 6
9 Tucuman Central 8 0 2 6 8:21 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Brava 9 4 4 1 11:7 16
2 San Martin Mendoza 9 4 4 1 9:6 16
3 Deportivo Rincon 9 4 3 2 11:5 15
4 Fundacion Amigos 9 4 3 2 7:4 15
5 Juventud U.U. 9 4 2 3 7:6 14
6 Germinal 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
7 Guillermo Brown 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
8 Circulo Deportivo 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
9 Sol de Mayo 9 2 0 7 6:14 6
10 Santamarina 9 2 0 7 6:16 6
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)