Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Guillermo Trama, Comandante Nicanor Otamendi
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Gonzalez F.
50'
Leguizamon M.
50'
Chimino C.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Circulo Deportivo and Olimpo Bahia Blanca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Circulo Deportivo
30%
Draws
35%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpo Bahia Blanca come out ahead of Circulo Deportivo on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Circulo Deportivo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Circulo Deportivo Clean Sheet 68%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Circulo Deportivo Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 12
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.67 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:1
Apr 27, 2026 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Circulo Deportivo
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Circulo Deportivo
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0:1
Jun 9, 2024 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Circulo Deportivo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Circulo Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Iriberri I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Circulo Deportivo 46 / 100
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Circulo Deportivo Olimpo Bahia Blanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Circulo Deportivo found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Olimpo Bahia Blanca conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Circulo Deportivo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Circulo Deportivo VS Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Circulo Deportivo

(Home)
20 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 0
Germinal
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0
Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1
Costa Brava
Page 1 of 6

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

(Away)
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
06 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 1
Cipolletti
30 Aug
Biblioteca Atenas
1 : 0
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
23 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 0
Kimberley
16 Aug
Argentino MM
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)