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Ciserano-Bergamo vs Franciacorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Piccinni M.
59' Event
Panatti A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ciserano-Bergamo
35%
Draws
35%
Franciacorta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ciserano-Bergamo have won more games recently than Franciacorta.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Ciserano-Bergamo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo Franciacorta
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 13 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Franciacorta
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:2
Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Franciacorta
1:1
Oct 31, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Mar 28, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Ciserano-Bergamo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Panatti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Franciacorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Piccinni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 68 / 100
Franciacorta 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo Franciacorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano-Bergamo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (35 games).

Franciacorta has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ciserano-Bergamo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Home)
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0
Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
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Franciacorta

(Away)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)