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Ciserano-Bergamo vs Montecchio Maggiore

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tirapelle M.
52' Event
Redondi D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Ciserano-Bergamo and Montecchio Maggiore finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Ciserano-Bergamo
35%
Draws
9%
Montecchio Maggiore
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciserano-Bergamo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Ciserano-Bergamo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo Montecchio Maggiore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1 0.73
Goals Conceded 1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Redondi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Top Goalscorer Tirapelle M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 95 / 100
Montecchio Maggiore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo Montecchio Maggiore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montecchio Maggiore has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Ciserano-Bergamo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Ciserano-Bergamo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Home)
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Castellanzese
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Montecchio Maggiore

(Away)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)