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Ciserano-Bergamo vs Pavonese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lozza S.
76' Event
Secli F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Ciserano-Bergamo and Pavonese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ciserano-Bergamo
35%
Draws
35%
Pavonese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciserano-Bergamo come out ahead of Pavonese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ciserano-Bergamo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%
Pavonese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo Pavonese
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 11 2
Draws 11 1
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Pavonese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozza S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Pavonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Secli F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 77 / 100
Pavonese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo Pavonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pavonese let in goals in 80% of their last 5 matches.

Ciserano-Bergamo's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ciserano-Bergamo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS Pavonese
1.5 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Home)
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0
Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 6

Pavonese

(Away)
27 Sept
Virtus Verona
0 : 1
Pavonese
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2
Tritium
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2
Club Milano
05 Sept
Chievo
1 : 0
Pavonese

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)