Sport Picks
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Real Calepina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
25'
25'
Paderno M.
83'
83'
Forlani A.
AI Match Summary
Real Calepina in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Calepina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Real Calepina haven't matched Ciserano-Bergamo's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ciserano-Bergamo's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciserano-Bergamo | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Real Calepina
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Real Calepina
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Real Calepina vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciserano-Bergamo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Real Calepina Compare
Top Goalscorer Paderno M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Forlani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciserano-Bergamo 86 / 100
Real Calepina 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciserano-Bergamo Real Calepina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ciserano-Bergamo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Real Calepina let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Ciserano-Bergamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ciserano-Bergamo VS Real Calepina
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciserano-Bergamo
(Home) 04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0 Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0 Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Pavonese
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Castellanzese
Page 1 of 4
Real Calepina
(Away) 07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2 AC Leon
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1 Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1 Real Calepina
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 Real Calepina
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
19 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Real Calepina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
