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Ciserano-Bergamo vs Virtus Verona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Marin M.
74' Event
Lozza S.
89' Event
Lozza S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Ciserano-Bergamo and Virtus Verona finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciserano-Bergamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ciserano-Bergamo
35%
Draws
35%
Virtus Verona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ciserano-Bergamo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ciserano-Bergamo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo Virtus Verona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Virtus Verona
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozza S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Virtus Verona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 68 / 100
Virtus Verona 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo Virtus Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Virtus Verona conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Ciserano-Bergamo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ciserano-Bergamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS Virtus Verona
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Home)
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0
Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 6

Virtus Verona

(Away)
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0
Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Virtus Verona
0 : 1
Pavonese
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)