Sport Picks
Ciserano vs Caravaggio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaggio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Caravaggio lately — more wins on the board than Ciserano.
- Win probability leans Caravaggio's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 19%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciserano | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 6, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Caravaggio
3:3
Sep 16, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Ciserano
2:0
Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Ciserano
0:2
Dec 3, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Caravaggio
2:0
Feb 12, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Ciserano
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciserano 28 / 100
Caravaggio 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciserano Caravaggio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caravaggio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 36 matches.
Ciserano's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Ciserano remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Caravaggio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciserano
(Home) 05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2 Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1 Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0 Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3 Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0 Ciserano
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1 Seregno Calcio
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3 Rezzato
31 Mar
Ciserano
3 : 4 Pro Sesto
17 Mar
Ciserano
0 : 3 Ponte San Pietro
24 Feb
Ciserano
0 : 1 Mantova
Page 1 of 3
Caravaggio
(Away) 17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 8
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
30 Mar
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 0 Caravaggio
09 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 1 Caravaggio
16 Feb
Este
3 : 1 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 68:18 | 89 |
| 2 | Mantova | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 73:27 | 83 |
| 3 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 61:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Rezzato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 53:36 | 65 |
| 5 | Caronnese | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 57:41 | 59 |
| 6 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 34:41 | 45 |
| 7 | Sondrio | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 38:39 | 44 |
| 8 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 35:35 | 41 |
| 10 | Caravaggio | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:52 | 40 |
| 12 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:37 | 39 |
| 13 | Legnago Salus | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:57 | 38 |
| 14 | Darfo Boario | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:46 | 35 |
| 15 | Ambrosiana | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 45:62 | 33 |
| 16 | Villafranca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 36:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Ciserano | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 42:68 | 26 |
| 18 | Olginatese | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26:60 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
