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Ciserano vs MapelloBonate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ciserano
15%
Draws
49%
MapelloBonate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MapelloBonate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciserano lately — more wins on the board than MapelloBonate.
  • Win probability leans MapelloBonate's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 20%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano MapelloBonate
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.19 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs MapelloBonate
1:1
Nov 15, 2015 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Ciserano
0:1
Mar 29, 2015 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Ciserano
1:1
Nov 16, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs MapelloBonate
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano 16 / 100
MapelloBonate 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano MapelloBonate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MapelloBonate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MapelloBonate has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Ciserano's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: MapelloBonate has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano

(Home)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
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MapelloBonate

(Away)
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0
Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2
Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2
MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piacenza 38 30 6 2 85:27 96
2 Lecco 38 23 11 4 83:41 80
3 Seregno Calcio 38 18 10 10 63:47 64
4 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 18 7 13 48:49 61
5 Ponte San Pietro 38 17 10 11 63:48 61
6 Olginatese 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
7 Inveruno 38 15 8 15 65:57 53
8 Ciserano 38 13 14 11 48:55 53
9 Folgore Caratese 38 11 17 10 52:48 50
10 Monza 38 12 13 13 52:49 49
11 Grumellese 38 12 12 14 49:53 48
12 Pro Sesto 38 13 8 17 50:51 47
13 Varesina 38 11 14 13 42:49 47
14 Pergolettese 38 11 13 14 38:42 46
15 Bustese Milano City 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
16 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 12 9 17 44:61 45
17 Caravaggio 38 7 13 18 35:56 34
18 Fiorenzuola 38 5 18 15 28:51 33
19 MapelloBonate 38 6 13 19 36:59 31
20 Sondrio 38 6 9 23 39:73 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)