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Ciserano vs Ponte San Pietro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ponte San Pietro in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ponte San Pietro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ciserano
15%
Draws
42%
Ponte San Pietro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ciserano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ponte San Pietro have won more games recently than Ciserano.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ponte San Pietro taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ponte San Pietro have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 20%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano Ponte San Pietro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.2 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Ponte San Pietro
0:3
Nov 14, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Ciserano
3:1
Apr 8, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Ciserano
2:1
Nov 19, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Ponte San Pietro
2:3
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Ciserano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano 16 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano Ponte San Pietro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ponte San Pietro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ciserano scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ponte San Pietro conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Ponte San Pietro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ponte San Pietro
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano

(Home)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
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Ponte San Pietro

(Away)
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0
Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3
Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1
Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5
Ponte San Pietro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)