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Citizen vs South China Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Senior Shield 2012/2013 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Citizen
15%
Draws
42%
South China
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South China lately — more wins on the board than Citizen.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Citizen taking it.
  • South China arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor South China, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Citizen Clean Sheet 19%
South China Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Citizen South China
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Premier League
South China vs Citizen
3:2
Jan 18, 2014 Premier League
Citizen vs South China
1:4
Mar 3, 2013 Premier League
Citizen vs South China
0:1
Jan 5, 2013 Senior Shield
Citizen vs South China
0:0
Dec 15, 2012 Senior Shield
South China vs Citizen
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Citizen 67 / 100
South China 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Citizen South China

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Citizen found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

South China has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

South China lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS South China
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Citizen

(Home)
11 May
South China
3 : 2
Citizen
04 May
Citizen
2 : 1
Pegasus
19 Apr
Citizen
2 : 1
Southern District
12 Apr
Southern District
1 : 0
Citizen
06 Apr
Dreams Metro Gallery
3 : 2
Citizen
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South China

(Away)
20 May
South China
1 : 6
Eastern AA
14 May
Kitchee
2 : 1
South China
06 May
Yuen Long
0 : 1
South China
30 Apr
South China
1 : 0
Eastern AA
22 Apr
South China
0 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Southern District -
TBD -
TBD -
Pegasus -
Tuen Mun -
TBD -
Tai Po 2
Dreams Metro Gallery 0
South China -
TBD -
TBD -
Kitchee -
Hong Kong Rangers 1
Citizen 9
TBD -
Sun Hei -
Quarter-finals
Southern District 2
Pegasus 1
Tuen Mun 3
Tai Po 7
South China 1
Kitchee 0
Citizen 2
Sun Hei 1
Semi-finals
Southern District 2
Tai Po 3
South China 2
Citizen 3
Final
Tai Po 3
Citizen 2