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Citta di Anagni vs Latte Dolce

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Citta di Anagni play Latte Dolce in the Serie D - Group G 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Citta di Anagni averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Latte Dolce averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Citta di Anagni won 1, Latte Dolce won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 19, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Citta di Anagni and 1.30 for Latte Dolce. This points to a Latte Dolce double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Citta di Anagni
31%
Draws
40%
Latte Dolce
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Latte Dolce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Citta di Anagni picked up more points recently compared to Latte Dolce.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Citta di Anagni Clean Sheet 19%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Citta di Anagni Latte Dolce
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.55

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Citta di Anagni
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Citta di Anagni vs Latte Dolce
1:2
Feb 13, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Citta di Anagni vs Latte Dolce
1:0
Oct 24, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Citta di Anagni
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Citta di Anagni Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardinali F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Latte Dolce Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonelli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Virdis F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Citta di Anagni 30 / 100
Latte Dolce 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Citta di Anagni Latte Dolce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Latte Dolce or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Citta di Anagni attacking → ← attacking Latte Dolce

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Citta di Anagni scored in 68% of their last 22 games.

Latte Dolce let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Citta di Anagni went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Latte Dolce lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00