Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Citta di Fasano vs Real Normanna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Esposito G.
85' Event
Messina A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Citta di Fasano and Real Normanna finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Normanna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Citta di Fasano
11%
Draws
9%
Real Normanna
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Citta di Fasano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Citta di Fasano come out ahead of Real Normanna on wins alone.
  • Model gives Citta di Fasano a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Real Normanna have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Citta di Fasano Clean Sheet 68%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Citta di Fasano Real Normanna
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Citta di Fasano
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Real Normanna
0:2
Mar 28, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Citta di Fasano
0:1
Dec 16, 2020 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Real Normanna
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Citta di Fasano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Real Normanna Compare

Top Goalscorer Esposito G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Citta di Fasano 86 / 100
Real Normanna 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Citta di Fasano Real Normanna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Citta di Fasano scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Real Normanna has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Citta di Fasano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Citta di Fasano VS Real Normanna
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414