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Cittadella vs AlbinoLeffe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Agostinelli M.
30' Event
Desogus J.
Assist: Ballo L.
41'
Antonucci M.

AI Match Summary

AlbinoLeffe in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AlbinoLeffe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Cittadella
20%
Draws
32%
AlbinoLeffe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cittadella lately — more wins on the board than AlbinoLeffe.
  • Cittadella are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella AlbinoLeffe
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs AlbinoLeffe
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs AlbinoLeffe
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Cittadella
2:1
Aug 6, 2017 Coppa Italia
Cittadella vs AlbinoLeffe
2:1
Mar 5, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs AlbinoLeffe
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Paolucci L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer Desogus J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sottini E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 68 / 100
AlbinoLeffe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella AlbinoLeffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cittadella scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

AlbinoLeffe let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cittadella remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS AlbinoLeffe
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
Page 1 of 7

AlbinoLeffe

(Away)
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)