Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cittadella vs Atalanta U23

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
3 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Steffanoni F.
40' Event
Bonanomi A.
45' Event
Rabbi S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cittadella
30%
Draws
23%
Atalanta U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Atalanta U23 haven't matched Cittadella's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cittadella taking it.
  • Cittadella have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cittadella, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Atalanta U23
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.42 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Cittadella vs Atalanta U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabbi S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Steffanoni F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonanomi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 50 / 100
Atalanta U23 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Atalanta U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Atalanta U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cittadella remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS Atalanta U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2
Atalanta U23
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0
Luparense FC
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1
Cittadella
Page 1 of 7

Atalanta U23

(Away)
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2
Atalanta U23
08 Aug
Lecco
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
03 May
Casertana
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
19 Apr
Sorrento
1 : 1
Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 2
Guidonia 1937 3
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso -
Scafatese -
Guidonia 1937 -
Latina -
Vado -
Spezia -
Novara -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Monopoli -
Bari -
Picerno -
Catania -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Cosenza -
Altamura -
Sambenedettese -
Gubbio -
Vis Pesaro -
Desenzano Calvina -
Trento -
Arzignano -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Pro Vercelli -
Ravenna -
Forli FC -
Union Brescia -
Giana Erminio -
Cittadella -
Renate -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -