Sport Picks
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella 
Match Events
22'
22'
Rabbi S.
60'
60'
Gallea F.
64'
64'
Sub
Rocca M. In: Anatriello G.
Out: Rocca M.
AI Match Summary
Cittadella in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cittadella have won more games recently than Lumezzane.
- Win probability leans Cittadella's way, sitting at 70%.
- Cittadella have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cittadella, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cittadella | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Cittadella
1:2
Sep 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
0:1
Mar 20, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
1:0
Nov 7, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Cittadella
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Rabbi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Lumezzane Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cittadella 77 / 100
Lumezzane 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cittadella Lumezzane
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cittadella scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Cittadella has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Lumezzane's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Cittadella VS Lumezzane
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cittadella
(Home) 22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0 Pergolettese
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2 Atalanta U23
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0 Luparense FC
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2 Padova
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
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22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0 Pergolettese
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2 Atalanta U23
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0 Luparense FC
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2 Padova
10 May
Cittadella
2 : 2 Ravenna
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Lumezzane
(Away) 22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0 Lumezzane
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3 Renate
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Crema
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0 Lumezzane
06 May
Cittadella
1 : 0 Lumezzane
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22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0 Lumezzane
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0 Lumezzane
06 May
Cittadella
1 : 0 Lumezzane
19 Apr
Lecco
2 : 2 Lumezzane
03 Apr
Novara
1 : 3 Lumezzane
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
