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Cittadella vs Mestre

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Bunino C.
49' Event
Trovade G.
87' Event
Anastasia E.

AI Match Summary

Cittadella in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Cittadella
30%
Draws
26%
Mestre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Mestre haven't matched Cittadella's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cittadella's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 20%
Mestre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Mestre
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.65 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.06 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Cittadella vs Mestre
3:1
Jan 13, 2018 Club Friendly
Mestre vs Cittadella
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Bunino C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anastasia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Trovade G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 85 / 100
Mestre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Mestre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Cittadella has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mestre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS Mestre
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
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Mestre

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
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