Sport Picks
Cittadella vs Pergolettese
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella 
Match Events
21'
21'
Sub
Vita A. In: Amatucci F.
Out: Vita A.
23'
23'
Jaouhari Z.
32'
32'
Pala A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
35%
21%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cittadella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Cittadella have won more games recently than Pergolettese.
- Cittadella are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cittadella | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Pergolettese
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Pergolettese
3:3
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Cittadella
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Bunino C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Amatucci F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Pergolettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Corti N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferrandino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cittadella 95 / 100
Pergolettese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cittadella Pergolettese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cittadella scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Cittadella stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Pergolettese conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Cittadella VS Pergolettese
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cittadella
(Home) 26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0 Lecco
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0 Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0 Lecco
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0 Juventus U23
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 4
Pergolettese
(Away) 26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0 Pergolettese
22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0 Pergolettese
14 Aug
Pro Vercelli
2 : 1 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
