Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pro Sesto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bortolato F.
18' Event
Mandelli L.
89' Event
Boccaccini M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Cittadella Vis Modena and Pro Sesto finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittadella Vis Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cittadella Vis Modena
15%
Draws
48%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Cittadella Vis Modena haven't matched Pro Sesto's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Pro Sesto taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 16%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Vis Modena Pro Sesto
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pro Sesto
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Cittadella Vis Modena
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Vis Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandelli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boccaccini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortolato F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella Vis Modena 28 / 100
Pro Sesto 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Vis Modena Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella Vis Modena found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Cittadella Vis Modena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Pro Sesto conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella Vis Modena VS Pro Sesto
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella Vis Modena

(Home)
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2
Cittadella Vis Modena
01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 6

Pro Sesto

(Away)
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)