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Cittadella Vis Modena vs Sangiuliano City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cittadella Vis Modena play Sangiuliano City in the Serie D - Group D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cittadella Vis Modena averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Sangiuliano City averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Cittadella Vis Modena won 2, Sangiuliano City won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Cittadella Vis Modena and 1.06 for Sangiuliano City. This points to a Cittadella Vis Modena double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cittadella Vis Modena
28%
Draws
30%
Sangiuliano City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cittadella Vis Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Cittadella Vis Modena picked up more points recently compared to Sangiuliano City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 22%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Vis Modena Sangiuliano City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Sangiuliano City
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Vis Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Morello M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barozzini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sangiuliano City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella Vis Modena 42 / 100
Sangiuliano City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Vis Modena Sangiuliano City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cittadella Vis Modena or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cittadella Vis Modena attacking → ← attacking Sangiuliano City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella Vis Modena scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Sangiuliano City let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cittadella Vis Modena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sangiuliano City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 43
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738