Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Varese FC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cittadella Vis Modena
30%
Draws
23%
Varese FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cittadella Vis Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cittadella Vis Modena lately — more wins on the board than Varese FC.
  • Cittadella Vis Modena are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 68%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Vis Modena Varese FC
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Varese FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella Vis Modena 50 / 100
Varese FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Vis Modena Varese FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Vis Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cittadella Vis Modena scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Varese FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Cittadella Vis Modena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella Vis Modena VS Varese FC
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella Vis Modena

(Home)
04 Oct
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Cittadella Vis Modena
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
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Varese FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2
Varese FC
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)