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Cittanovese vs Biancavilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Savasta L.
48' Event
Bonanno T.
68' Event
Joof O.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 game between Cittanovese and Biancavilla finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittanovese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cittanovese
15%
Draws
0%
Biancavilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittanovese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Biancavilla haven't matched Cittanovese's recent run of results.
  • Cittanovese are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cittanovese Clean Sheet 20%
Biancavilla Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittanovese Biancavilla
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 10 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 0.89 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Cittanovese vs Biancavilla
3:1
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Biancavilla vs Cittanovese
0:1
Mar 28, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Cittanovese vs Biancavilla
3:2
Nov 1, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Biancavilla vs Cittanovese
2:1
Jan 5, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Biancavilla vs Cittanovese
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittanovese Compare

Top Goalscorer Savasta L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonanno T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Biancavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Joof O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittanovese 67 / 100
Biancavilla 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittanovese Biancavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittanovese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biancavilla has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Biancavilla registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Cittanovese scored in 57% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Cittanovese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittanovese

(Home)
07 May
Lamezia Terme
4 : 1
Cittanovese
30 Apr
Cittanovese
0 : 2
Canicatti
23 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 0
Cittanovese
16 Apr
S. Agata
0 : 1
Cittanovese
06 Apr
Cittanovese
0 : 1
Paterno
Page 1 of 7

Biancavilla

(Away)
22 May
Biancavilla
0 : 3
Castrovillari
08 May
Biancavilla
1 : 4
ASD Giarre
04 May
Santa Maria Cilento
3 : 0
Biancavilla
27 Apr
Biancavilla
0 : 3
Sancataldese
24 Apr
Biancavilla
1 : 2
Troina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)