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Cittanovese vs Ebolitana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Cittanovese Logo

Cittanovese

1 - 0
FT
Ebolitana Logo

Ebolitana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cittanovese in this Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittanovese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cittanovese
15%
Draws
59%
Ebolitana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ebolitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cittanovese have won more games recently than Ebolitana.
  • Model gives Ebolitana a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cittanovese Clean Sheet 20%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittanovese Ebolitana
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.89 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Cittanovese vs Ebolitana
1:0
Nov 1, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Ebolitana vs Cittanovese
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittanovese 24 / 100
Ebolitana 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittanovese Ebolitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebolitana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebolitana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Cittanovese scored in 57% of their last 37 outings.

Solid form: Cittanovese remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cittanovese VS Ebolitana
0.5 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.17
50% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittanovese

(Home)
07 May
Lamezia Terme
4 : 1
Cittanovese
30 Apr
Cittanovese
0 : 2
Canicatti
23 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 0
Cittanovese
16 Apr
S. Agata
0 : 1
Cittanovese
06 Apr
Cittanovese
0 : 1
Paterno
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Ebolitana

(Away)
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0
Melfi
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)