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Cittanovese vs Rende

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

82'
Mudasiru J.
82'
Mudasiru J.
86' Event
Bonanno T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 game between Cittanovese and Rende finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittanovese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cittanovese
15%
Draws
59%
Rende
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cittanovese have managed 0.76 goals a game lately — Rende are scoring more at 0.9.
  • Model gives Rende a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cittanovese here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cittanovese Clean Sheet 25%
Rende Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittanovese Rende
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.76 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Cittanovese vs Rende
1:0
Oct 17, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Cittanovese
0:1
Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Cittanovese vs Rende
2:2
Oct 14, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Cittanovese
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittanovese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonanno T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Rende Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittanovese 10 / 100
Rende 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittanovese Rende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rende has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Cittanovese found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Cittanovese stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cittanovese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittanovese

(Home)
07 May
Lamezia Terme
4 : 1
Cittanovese
30 Apr
Cittanovese
0 : 2
Canicatti
23 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 0
Cittanovese
16 Apr
S. Agata
0 : 1
Cittanovese
06 Apr
Cittanovese
0 : 1
Paterno
Page 1 of 7

Rende

(Away)
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0
Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1
Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0
Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2
Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)