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Cittanovese vs Roccella

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Samake B.
40' Event
Viola A.
62' Event
Giorgio P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 game between Cittanovese and Roccella finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittanovese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cittanovese
15%
Draws
49%
Roccella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roccella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Cittanovese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cittanovese's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Cittanovese Clean Sheet 20%
Roccella Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittanovese Roccella
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 0.79 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Cittanovese vs Roccella
2:1
Jan 10, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Cittanovese
0:2
Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Cittanovese
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Cittanovese vs Roccella
2:0
Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Cittanovese vs Roccella
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittanovese Compare

Top Goalscorer Viola A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giorgio P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Roccella Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittanovese 40 / 100
Roccella 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittanovese Roccella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittanovese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Roccella conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: Roccella has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cittanovese's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cittanovese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittanovese

(Home)
07 May
Lamezia Terme
4 : 1
Cittanovese
30 Apr
Cittanovese
0 : 2
Canicatti
23 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 0
Cittanovese
16 Apr
S. Agata
0 : 1
Cittanovese
06 Apr
Cittanovese
0 : 1
Paterno
Page 1 of 8

Roccella

(Away)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)