Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad Bolivar vs Acassuso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, Bolivar
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Yeri N.
24'
Gonzalez A.
24'
Dordoni B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Ciudad Bolivar and Acassuso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad Bolivar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ciudad Bolivar
15%
Draws
39%
Acassuso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ciudad Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciudad Bolivar come out ahead of Acassuso on wins alone.
  • Ciudad Bolivar are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Bolivar Acassuso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.86 0.55
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs Ciudad Bolivar
0:1
May 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ciudad Bolivar vs Acassuso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Acassuso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Bolivar 46 / 100
Acassuso 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Bolivar Acassuso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ciudad Bolivar scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Acassuso conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Ciudad Bolivar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Acassuso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Bolivar VS Acassuso
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Bolivar

(Home)
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1
Chaco For Ever
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Acassuso

(Away)
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
05 Sept
Acassuso
0 : 1
All Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)