Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, Bolivar

Ciudad Bolivar

1 - 2

Deportivo Moron

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Yeri N.

33'

Toloza F.

Assist: Fagundez F.

37'

Sanchez G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Moron in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Moron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Ciudad Bolivar

30%

Draws

34%

Deportivo Moron

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Deportivo Moron lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad Bolivar.
36% — that's where the model lands on Ciudad Bolivar taking it.
Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%

Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ciudad Bolivar	Deportivo Moron
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	14
Draws	10	9
Losses	7	7
Goals Scored	1.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Primera Nacional

Ciudad Bolivar vs Deportivo Moron

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Deportivo Moron Compare

Top Goalscorer Toloza F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gonzalez G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Bolivar 46 / 100

Deportivo Moron 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ciudad Bolivar Deportivo Moron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Bolivar scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Moron conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ciudad Bolivar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Bolivar VS Deportivo Moron

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Bolivar

(Home)

17 Jul

Ciudad Bolivar

0 : 0

All Boys

11 Jul

Los Andes

3 : 1

Ciudad Bolivar

04 Jul

Ciudad Bolivar

3 : 1

Godoy Cruz

20 Jun

Ciudad Bolivar

1 : 2

CA Estudiantes

13 Jun

Ciudad Bolivar

1 : 2

Deportivo Moron

Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Moron

(Away)

11 Jul

Deportivo Moron

2 : 2

Deportivo Madryn

04 Jul

Defensores de Belgrano

2 : 1

Deportivo Moron

21 Jun

Ferro

1 : 0

Deportivo Moron

13 Jun

Ciudad Bolivar

1 : 2

Deportivo Moron

07 Jun

Deportivo Moron

1 : 0

Almirante Brown

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)