Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad Bolivar vs Deportivo Moron

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, Bolivar
Ciudad Bolivar Logo

Ciudad Bolivar

1 - 2
FT
Deportivo Moron Logo

Deportivo Moron

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Yeri N.
33' Event
Toloza F.
Assist: Fagundez F.
37'
Sanchez G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Moron in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Moron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ciudad Bolivar
15%
Draws
48%
Deportivo Moron
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Moron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Moron lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad Bolivar.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Bolivar Deportivo Moron
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ciudad Bolivar vs Deportivo Moron
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Deportivo Moron Compare

Top Goalscorer Toloza F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Bolivar 42 / 100
Deportivo Moron 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Bolivar Deportivo Moron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Bolivar scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Deportivo Moron let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ciudad Bolivar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Bolivar VS Deportivo Moron
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Bolivar

(Home)
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1
Chaco For Ever
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Moron

(Away)
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
14 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
15 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
16 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)