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Ciudad Cieza vs Ilicitano

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Almansa S. G.

AI Match Summary

Ciudad Cieza in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad Cieza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ciudad Cieza
30%
Draws
33%
Ilicitano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad Cieza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ciudad Cieza have won more games recently than Ilicitano.
  • Win probability leans Ciudad Cieza's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 68%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Cieza Ilicitano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.72 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Ciudad Cieza vs Ilicitano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad Cieza Compare

Top Goalscorer Almansa S. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ilicitano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Cieza 50 / 100
Ilicitano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Cieza Ilicitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Cieza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Cieza's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ilicitano has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Ciudad Cieza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Cieza VS Ilicitano
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Cieza

(Home)
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
Baleares
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
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Ilicitano

(Away)
27 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Ilicitano
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
22 Aug
Albacete B
0 : 1
Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Nucia 4 4 0 0 9:1 12
2 Castellon B 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 Castellonense 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
4 CF Intercity 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Alcoyano 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Yeclano 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Orihuela 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
8 UCAM Murcia 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
9 Ciudad Cieza 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Lorca Deportiva 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Deportiva Minera 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
13 Ilicitano 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
14 UD Poblense 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
15 Real Murcia B 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
16 Baleares 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
17 Valencia B 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
18 Pena Deportiva 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)