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Stadium Background

Ciudad de Alfaro vs Berceo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Berceo in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Berceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ciudad de Alfaro
15%
Draws
85%
Berceo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Berceo lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad de Alfaro.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Berceo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ciudad de Alfaro Clean Sheet 20%
Berceo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Alfaro Berceo
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.6 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Berceo
1:2
Sep 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Ciudad de Alfaro
0:2
Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Ciudad de Alfaro
1:1
Sep 25, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Berceo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Alfaro 10 / 100
Berceo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Alfaro Berceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berceo let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Ciudad de Alfaro scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Berceo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Berceo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Alfaro

(Home)
16 May
Casalarreina CF
5 : 1
Ciudad de Alfaro
10 May
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 4
Yague
03 May
Vianes
4 : 1
Ciudad de Alfaro
25 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 1
Ciudad de Alfaro
19 Apr
Ciudad de Alfaro
3 : 5
Varea
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Berceo

(Away)
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Varea 38 27 7 4 101:40 88
2 Haro Deportivo 38 23 14 1 92:24 83
3 Naxara 38 22 10 6 86:33 76
4 Anguiano 38 23 7 8 81:38 76
5 Vianes 38 23 4 11 65:41 73
6 Alfaro 38 20 11 7 59:27 71
7 Oyonesa 38 21 8 9 49:32 71
8 CD Calahorra 38 20 11 7 59:27 71
9 Agoncillo 38 14 13 11 56:43 55
10 River Ebro 38 12 11 15 56:65 47
11 CDFC La Calzada 38 10 12 16 39:69 42
12 Ciudad de Alfaro 38 10 9 19 34:58 39
13 Pena Balsamaiso 38 10 7 21 37:74 37
14 Arnedo 38 10 7 21 33:58 37
15 Villegas 38 9 9 20 37:59 36
16 Calasancio 38 9 9 20 32:52 36
17 San Marcial 38 9 6 23 45:78 33
18 Pradejon 38 8 8 22 39:77 32
19 Berceo 38 6 11 21 35:67 29
20 CCD Alberite 38 5 4 29 36:109 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)