Sport Picks
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Naxara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
Naxara in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naxara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naxara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Naxara lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad de Alfaro.
- Naxara are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Naxara have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ciudad de Alfaro Clean Sheet 19%
Naxara Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad de Alfaro | Naxara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs Ciudad de Alfaro
5:0
Oct 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Naxara
2:0
May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Naxara
0:3
Jan 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs Ciudad de Alfaro
3:0
Apr 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs Ciudad de Alfaro
6:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad de Alfaro 16 / 100
Naxara 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad de Alfaro Naxara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Naxara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Naxara conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Difficult form: Naxara registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Ciudad de Alfaro's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Naxara
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad de Alfaro
(Home) 16 May
Casalarreina CF
5 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
10 May
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 4 Yague
03 May
Vianes
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
25 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
19 Apr
Ciudad de Alfaro
3 : 5 Varea
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10 May
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 4 Yague
19 Apr
Ciudad de Alfaro
3 : 5 Varea
02 Apr
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 3 CDFC La Calzada
22 Mar
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 2 Agoncillo
08 Mar
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 3 Haro Deportivo
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Naxara
(Away) 27 Sept
Naxara
0 : 0 UD Barbastro
20 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0 Naxara
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2 Olot
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0 Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2 Naxara
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20 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0 Naxara
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0 Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2 Naxara
14 Aug
Haro Deportivo
1 : 4 Naxara
02 May
Eibar B
3 : 2 Naxara
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varea | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 101:40 | 88 |
| 2 | Haro Deportivo | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 92:24 | 83 |
| 3 | Naxara | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 86:33 | 76 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:38 | 76 |
| 5 | Vianes | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 65:41 | 73 |
| 6 | Alfaro | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 59:27 | 71 |
| 7 | Oyonesa | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 49:32 | 71 |
| 8 | CD Calahorra | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 59:27 | 71 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 56:43 | 55 |
| 10 | River Ebro | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 56:65 | 47 |
| 11 | CDFC La Calzada | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 39:69 | 42 |
| 12 | Ciudad de Alfaro | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:58 | 39 |
| 13 | Pena Balsamaiso | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 37:74 | 37 |
| 14 | Arnedo | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 33:58 | 37 |
| 15 | Villegas | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 37:59 | 36 |
| 16 | Calasancio | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 32:52 | 36 |
| 17 | San Marcial | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 45:78 | 33 |
| 18 | Pradejon | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 39:77 | 32 |
| 19 | Berceo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 35:67 | 29 |
| 20 | CCD Alberite | 38 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 36:109 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
