Sport Picks
Ciudad de Lucena vs Bollullos
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 
Match Events
23'
23'
Cantarino Abelleira D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Ciudad de Lucena and Bollullos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad de Lucena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ciudad de Lucena come out ahead of Bollullos on wins alone.
- Ciudad de Lucena are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ciudad de Lucena here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 68%
Bollullos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Bollullos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Bollullos
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Bollullos vs Ciudad de Lucena
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Bollullos
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Bollullos vs Ciudad de Lucena
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Bollullos
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciudad de Lucena Compare
Top Goalscorer Cantarino Abelleira D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Bollullos Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad de Lucena 77 / 100
Bollullos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad de Lucena Bollullos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciudad de Lucena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ciudad de Lucena scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Bollullos has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Ciudad de Lucena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Bollullos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ciudad de Lucena VS Bollullos
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad de Lucena
(Home) 20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2 Tenerife B
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 1 Dos Hermanas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2 Tenerife B
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 1 Dos Hermanas
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
5 : 0 Tomares UD
18 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Bollullos
Page 1 of 3
Bollullos
(Away) 19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0 Bollullos
13 Sept
Bollullos
3 : 3 Betis C
06 Sept
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
2 : 0 Bollullos
23 May
Atletico Central
2 : 0 Bollullos
17 May
Bollullos
1 : 0 Atletico Central
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0 Bollullos
06 Sept
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
2 : 0 Bollullos
23 May
Atletico Central
2 : 0 Bollullos
03 May
Dos Hermanas
1 : 2 Bollullos
18 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Bollullos
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 69:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69:39 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 43:35 | 53 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38:38 | 52 |
| 6 | Linense | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 45:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Cadiz B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:44 | 52 |
| 9 | Cordoba B | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44:44 | 44 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | 44 |
| 11 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Tomares UD | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Sevilla C | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34:41 | 38 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:62 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:59 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
