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Ciudad de Lucena vs Don Benito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciudad de Lucena host Don Benito in the Segunda RFEF - Group 4. Little to choose between these two on current form. Don Benito have shipped 0.69 goals a game lately, while Ciudad de Lucena have conceded 0.69 and scored 1.97. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.69, favoring Ciudad de Lucena. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ciudad de Lucena
30%
Draws
39%
Don Benito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciudad de Lucena come out ahead of Don Benito on wins alone.
  • Ciudad de Lucena are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 13%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Don Benito
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.97 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Lucena 40 / 100
Don Benito 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Lucena Don Benito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Lucena found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Ciudad de Lucena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Don Benito has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Don Benito lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Lucena VS Don Benito
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Lucena

(Home)
04 Oct
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Puente Genil
27 Sept
Antoniano
0 : 3
Ciudad de Lucena
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2
Tenerife B
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
Page 1 of 6

Don Benito

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Don Benito
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0
Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 5 4 1 0 8:0 13
2 Recreativo Huelva 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Don Benito 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
4 Tenerife B 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
5 Ciudad de Lucena 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
6 Sevilla B 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
7 CD Badajoz 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 CD Estepona 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Linares 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 Mijas Las Lagunas 5 1 3 1 10:10 6
11 Sanluqueno 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Atletico Central 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
13 Xerez CD 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Marbella 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Puente Genil 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
16 Las Palmas B 5 1 1 3 1:8 4
17 Tamaraceite 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Antoniano 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)