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Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Molina M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 game between Ciudad de Lucena and Puente Genil finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad de Lucena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ciudad de Lucena
30%
Draws
23%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Puente Genil haven't matched Ciudad de Lucena's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ciudad de Lucena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 68%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Puente Genil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs Ciudad de Lucena
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil
0:1
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs Ciudad de Lucena
0:0
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Lucena Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Puente Genil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Lucena 59 / 100
Puente Genil 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Lucena Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Lucena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ciudad de Lucena scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Puente Genil has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Ciudad de Lucena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Puente Genil lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Lucena VS Puente Genil
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Lucena

(Home)
04 Oct
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Puente Genil
27 Sept
Antoniano
0 : 3
Ciudad de Lucena
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2
Tenerife B
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
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Puente Genil

(Away)
04 Oct
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Puente Genil
27 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 0
Marbella
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
13 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Puente Genil
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 5 4 1 0 8:0 13
2 Recreativo Huelva 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Don Benito 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
4 Tenerife B 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
5 Ciudad de Lucena 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
6 Sevilla B 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
7 CD Badajoz 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 CD Estepona 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Linares 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 Mijas Las Lagunas 5 1 3 1 10:10 6
11 Sanluqueno 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Atletico Central 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
13 Xerez CD 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Marbella 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Puente Genil 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
16 Las Palmas B 5 1 1 3 1:8 4
17 Tamaraceite 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Antoniano 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)