Sport Picks
Ciudad de Madrid vs AD Torrejon
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Gonzalez S.
15'
15'
Pradillos Castrillejo J.
59'
59'
Gomez N.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Ciudad de Madrid and AD Torrejon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Torrejon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Torrejon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AD Torrejon come out ahead of Ciudad de Madrid on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on AD Torrejon taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ciudad de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad de Madrid | AD Torrejon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.91 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ciudad de Madrid vs AD Torrejon
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Ciudad de Madrid
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciudad de Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.46
AD Torrejon Compare
Top Goalscorer Pradillos Castrillejo J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad de Madrid 10 / 100
AD Torrejon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad de Madrid AD Torrejon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
AD Torrejon has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Difficult form: AD Torrejon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Ciudad de Madrid scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Ciudad de Madrid VS AD Torrejon
0.57 Goals Scored 1.63
4.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 38%
86% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad de Madrid
(Home) 10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0 Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4 Villaverde San Andres
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1 Siello
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4 Villaverde San Andres
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1 Siello
03 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 6 Leganes B
22 Mar
Ciudad de Madrid
1 : 2 AD Torrejon
08 Mar
Ciudad de Madrid
1 : 2 Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 3
AD Torrejon
(Away) 13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2 AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3 CD Las Rozas
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2 AD Torrejon
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1 AD Torrejon
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3 AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
