Sport Picks
Ciudad de Madrid vs CD Mostoles Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
81'
81'
Montero P.
90'
90'
Garrido I.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Ciudad de Madrid and CD Mostoles finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Mostoles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ciudad de Madrid haven't matched CD Mostoles's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans CD Mostoles's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ciudad de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad de Madrid | CD Mostoles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 2.57 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ciudad de Madrid vs CD Mostoles
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Ciudad de Madrid
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciudad de Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Montero P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
CD Mostoles Compare
Top Goalscorer Garrido I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.34
Avg xA / game 1.43
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad de Madrid 10 / 100
CD Mostoles 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad de Madrid CD Mostoles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: CD Mostoles conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Ciudad de Madrid scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ciudad de Madrid VS CD Mostoles
0.57 Goals Scored 1
4.14 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 25%
86% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad de Madrid
(Home) 10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0 Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4 Villaverde San Andres
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1 Siello
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4 Villaverde San Andres
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1 Siello
03 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 6 Leganes B
22 Mar
Ciudad de Madrid
1 : 2 AD Torrejon
08 Mar
Ciudad de Madrid
1 : 2 Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 3
CD Mostoles
(Away) 04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1 Leganes B
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1 CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1 CD Mostoles
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0 CD Mostoles
12 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
