Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad de Murcia vs CA Pulpileno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Cristo
41' Event
Cortes F.
90' Event
Cortes F.

AI Match Summary

CA Pulpileno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Pulpileno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ciudad de Murcia
35%
Draws
40%
CA Pulpileno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Pulpileno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CA Pulpileno have won more games recently than Ciudad de Murcia.
  • CA Pulpileno are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 23%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Murcia CA Pulpileno
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 6 20
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:0
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs CA Pulpileno
0:3
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:1
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs CA Pulpileno
0:1
Apr 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Ciudad de Murcia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CA Pulpileno Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cristo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Murcia 29 / 100
CA Pulpileno 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Murcia CA Pulpileno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Murcia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad de Murcia found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

CA Pulpileno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS CA Pulpileno
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Murcia

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1
Balsicas Atletico
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CA Pulpileno

(Away)
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
CA Pulpileno
0 : 0
Bullas Deportivo
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)